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The moneyline is the most common MLB bet — you simply pick which team wins. No spread, no run line. This guide explains how it works, how to read the numbers, and how to spot value.
A moneyline bet is the simplest wager in baseball: you pick which team wins the game. There is no point spread to cover — the team just needs to win, by any score.
The number next to each team is the American odds. A negative number means favorite; a positive number means underdog.
A team listed at -165 is the favorite. The number tells you how much you must risk to win $100.
A team at +140 is the underdog. The number tells you how much you win on a $100 bet.
Every set of odds implies a win probability. This is what the market thinks each team's chances are.
The extra 4% is the sportsbook's margin — called the "vig" or "juice." To win long-term, you need to find bets where the team's true probability is higher than what the odds imply.
Value exists when you believe a team's true win probability is higher than what the odds imply. Our AI scores each game across multiple analytical layers to find these gaps:
In baseball you can also bet the run line (±1.5 runs), which works like a spread. If you take a -1.5 favorite, they must win by 2+ runs. The payoff is better, but so is the risk.
Moneylines are better when you expect a close game — run lines reward blowout winners. Learn more in our Run Line Guide →
Our AI finds moneyline value every day using sharp money signals, pitcher data, and market movement. See today's picks:
See Today's AI Picks →