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Official record includes every graded published pick. Exclusive Pick tracks only the daily top-ranked selection.
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The Exclusive Pick

Our daily #1 pick, tracked.

The strongest qualified signal from the entire card, published with full reasoning and graded without deletion. Tracked since June 29, 2026.

How results are graded →
⭐ Exclusive
33–22
Exclusive Pick Record
60.0%
Win rate
+9.95u
Profit
2L
Current streak
Tracked since June 29, 2026 · Past performance does not predict future results.
Results Calendar
Aug 1
Mets
L
Aug 2
Reds
W
Aug 3
Padres
L
Aug 4
Braves
W
Aug 5
Brewers
W
Aug 6
Braves
W
Aug 7
Brewers
L
Aug 8
Cubs
L
Aug 9
Phillies
W
Aug 10
Red Sox
L
Aug 11
Brewers
L
Aug 12
Red Sox
L
Aug 13
Yankees
L
Aug 14
Astros
W
Aug 15
Rays
L
Aug 16
Padres
W
Aug 17
Braves
L
Aug 18
Brewers
W
Aug 19
Astros
W
Aug 20
Brewers
W
Aug 21
Diamondbacks
W
Aug 22
Marlins
W
Aug 23
Marlins
W
Aug 24
Red Sox
W
Aug 25
Brewers
L
Aug 26
Red Sox
L
Aug 27
Yankees
…
55 graded · Results updated after games conclude · Past performance does not predict future results · 21+
Track Record

Bankroll, day by day.

Cumulative units since June 29, 2026 — every graded pick, wins and losses, nothing removed. 1 unit = 1% of bankroll.

+0u+4u+8u+12u+16u 2026-06-29: Exclusive +0.385u2026-06-30: Exclusive +0.84u2026-07-01: Exclusive +1.15u2026-07-02: Exclusive +0.65u2026-07-03: Exclusive +0.986u2026-07-04: Exclusive +7.08u2026-07-05: Exclusive +13.58u2026-07-06: Exclusive +12.58u2026-07-07: Exclusive +13.225u2026-07-08: Exclusive +13.994u2026-07-09: Exclusive +14.8u2026-07-10: Exclusive +15.677u2026-07-11: Exclusive +16.279u2026-07-12: Exclusive +17.06u2026-07-16: Exclusive +17.06u2026-07-17: Exclusive +16.06u2026-07-18: Exclusive +15.06u2026-07-19: Exclusive +15.785u2026-07-20: Exclusive +16.439u2026-07-21: Exclusive +15.439u2026-07-22: Exclusive +16.093u2026-07-24: Exclusive +15.093u2026-07-25: Exclusive +14.093u2026-07-26: Exclusive +14.818u2026-07-27: Exclusive +13.818u2026-07-28: Exclusive +12.818u2026-07-29: Exclusive +13.508u2026-07-30: Exclusive +13.258u2026-07-31: Exclusive +13.418u2026-08-01: Exclusive +13.168u2026-08-02: Exclusive +13.359u2026-08-03: Exclusive +13.109u2026-08-04: Exclusive +13.285u2026-08-05: Exclusive +13.487u2026-08-06: Exclusive +13.656u2026-08-07: Exclusive +12.656u2026-08-08: Exclusive +11.656u2026-08-09: Exclusive +11.77u2026-08-10: Exclusive +11.27u2026-08-11: Exclusive +10.27u2026-08-12: Exclusive +9.27u2026-08-13: Exclusive +8.77u2026-08-14: Exclusive +9.632u2026-08-15: Exclusive +8.632u2026-08-16: Exclusive +9.584u2026-08-17: Exclusive +9.334u2026-08-18: Exclusive +9.944u2026-08-19: Exclusive +10.113u2026-08-20: Exclusive +10.516u2026-08-21: Exclusive +11.225u2026-08-22: Exclusive +11.368u2026-08-23: Exclusive +11.531u2026-08-24: Exclusive +11.951u2026-08-25: Exclusive +10.951u2026-08-26: Exclusive +9.951u 2026-06-29 Official: +1.252u Exclusive: +0.385u2026-06-30 Official: +1.592u Exclusive: +0.84u2026-07-01 Official: +2.152u Exclusive: +1.15u2026-07-02 Official: +2.07u Exclusive: +0.65u2026-07-03 Official: +2.802u Exclusive: +0.986u2026-07-04 Official: +7.615u Exclusive: +7.08u2026-07-05 Official: +6.865u Exclusive: +13.58u2026-07-06 Official: +5.865u Exclusive: +12.58u2026-07-07 Official: +8.123u Exclusive: +13.225u2026-07-08 Official: +8.627u Exclusive: +13.994u2026-07-09 Official: +9.433u Exclusive: +14.8u2026-07-10 Official: +9.31u Exclusive: +15.677u2026-07-11 Official: +9.912u Exclusive: +16.279u2026-07-12 Official: +9.693u Exclusive: +17.06u2026-07-16 Official: +9.693u Exclusive: +17.06u2026-07-17 Official: +10.451u Exclusive: +16.06u2026-07-18 Official: +9.451u Exclusive: +15.06u2026-07-19 Official: +10.069u Exclusive: +15.785u2026-07-20 Official: +11.543u Exclusive: +16.439u2026-07-21 Official: +10.543u Exclusive: +15.439u2026-07-22 Official: +11.197u Exclusive: +16.093u2026-07-24 Official: +10.197u Exclusive: +15.093u2026-07-25 Official: +9.197u Exclusive: +14.093u2026-07-26 Official: +9.922u Exclusive: +14.818u2026-07-27 Official: +8.922u Exclusive: +13.818u2026-07-28 Official: +8.073u Exclusive: +12.818u2026-07-29 Official: +8.263u Exclusive: +13.508u2026-07-30 Official: +8.353u Exclusive: +13.258u2026-07-31 Official: +8.22u Exclusive: +13.418u2026-08-01 Official: +8.082u Exclusive: +13.168u2026-08-02 Official: +9.063u Exclusive: +13.359u2026-08-03 Official: +8.063u Exclusive: +13.109u2026-08-04 Official: +8.71u Exclusive: +13.285u2026-08-05 Official: +9.53u Exclusive: +13.487u2026-08-06 Official: +9.642u Exclusive: +13.656u2026-08-07 Official: +8.407u Exclusive: +12.656u2026-08-08 Official: +6.407u Exclusive: +11.656u2026-08-09 Official: +6.561u Exclusive: +11.77u2026-08-10 Official: +5.561u Exclusive: +11.27u2026-08-11 Official: +3.94u Exclusive: +10.27u2026-08-12 Official: +2.895u Exclusive: +9.27u2026-08-13 Official: +2.326u Exclusive: +8.77u2026-08-14 Official: +3.243u Exclusive: +9.632u2026-08-15 Official: +0.993u Exclusive: +8.632u2026-08-16 Official: +2.024u Exclusive: +9.584u2026-08-17 Official: +2.326u Exclusive: +9.334u2026-08-18 Official: +2.922u Exclusive: +9.944u2026-08-19 Official: +3.125u Exclusive: +10.113u2026-08-20 Official: +3.759u Exclusive: +10.516u2026-08-21 Official: +4.143u Exclusive: +11.225u2026-08-22 Official: +3.973u Exclusive: +11.368u2026-08-23 Official: +4.109u Exclusive: +11.531u2026-08-24 Official: +4.029u Exclusive: +11.951u2026-08-25 Official: +2.886u Exclusive: +10.951u2026-08-26 Official: +1.056u Exclusive: +9.951u Jun 29Jul 30Aug 26
+1.056u
Net result
+11.543u
Peak
-10.55u
Largest drawdown from peak
Drawdowns are part of the process — this is what a real, unedited record looks like. See every pick →
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Real Pick · August 26, 2026 ✓ FINAL · WIN
Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
Published Line
-143
Stake
0.25u
Confidence
72%
WHY IT QUALIFIED
Strong multi-book market consensus
⚠ RISK & DISCIPLINE
Dustin May in bad recent form
Final scoreMilwaukee Brewers 8-1 New York Mets
ResultWin +0.17u
Closing line valuepublished -143 · closed -220
✓ Better price than the market close — the bet had value at the moment it was published.
Verified in the public record — every pick on this site is graded win or loss. See all results →
Transparency Standard
Timestamped before game time
Line and unit recorded
Risk note included
Win/loss graded consistently
Closing line tracked when available
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⭐ The Exclusive Pick
STANDARD
✓ Official
Houston Astros @ New York Yankees
New York Yankees
Line
-150
Unit
0.5u
Confidence
73%
The day's top-approved play — #1 rated across the full analysis engine and the AI review.
STANDARD
✓ Official
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
Line
107
Unit
0.5u
Confidence
70%
LEAN
✓ Official
Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals
Baltimore Orioles
Line
-117
Unit
0.25u
Confidence
66%
The full card, free — same picks, same time, on Discord, X and by email
Yesterday's Results

How Yesterday's Picks Did

August 26, 2026 1W – 2L
Boston Red Sox ML
Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins · STANDARD
LOSS
Los Angeles Dodgers ML
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves · STANDARD
LOSS
Milwaukee Brewers ML
Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets · STANDARD
WIN
93
Wins
74
Losses
55.7%
Win Rate
167
Total Graded

Results updated after games conclude · Past performance does not predict future results · 21+

How the Engine Thinks

A disciplined process from data to pick.

The engine evaluates the full slate, qualifies the strongest signals and sends only reviewed positions to publication.

01
Full-slate evaluation
Every available matchup enters the same analytical workflow.
02
Signal qualification
Only positions meeting the current quality and price standards remain.
03
Independent review
AI review challenges the case, risk and supporting evidence.
04
Disciplined publication
Qualified picks are ranked, documented and tracked transparently.

What actually goes into a score

Every game on the slate is measured across all of these before anything is published. Missing data lowers the ceiling — it never gets filled in with guesses.

Market & price
Multi-book odds consensus, best available price vs. market average, implied-probability devig to a fair line, and whether the number on offer actually carries value.
Money flow & line movement
Bet percentage vs. money percentage on both sides, divergence between the two, and line movement measured against the opening number to flag steam.
Starting pitching
ERA, WHIP and K/9 minus BB/9 for both starters, scored as a matchup differential rather than in isolation, adjusted for recent form.
Offense vs. handedness
Team OPS against the opposing starter's throwing hand — split by left and right — plus runs per game over the last 14 days.
Bullpen
Relief-corps ERA and WHIP as a quality rating, combined with recent workload: a rested bullpen counts for less when the arms behind it are weak.
Environment
Wind speed and direction, temperature and park factors, with rain probability able to veto a position outright.
Situation & schedule
Recent form, home/away splits, run differential over the last 10 games, travel and rest — including correct handling of both games of a doubleheader.
Independent AI review
Multiple language models review the case separately and can downgrade or veto a pick. Disagreement between them lowers the score rather than being hidden.
Stake sizing comes from a fractional-Kelly calculation on the devigged edge, capped per pick and per day. A pick with a strong score but no price edge is published at zero units — a rating is not a bet.
The internal model can evolve without changing the promise: consistent evaluation, independent review and transparent tracking.
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Who's Behind This

Built by people who track their own losses.

An independent project combining a statistical model with multi-model AI review. We're not a tout service: the full record is public, the losing streaks included, and you can check every claim on this site against the results page.

Every pick graded in public
167 graded picks over 55 days of play, wins and losses both. Nothing is deleted after the fact.
Timestamped before first pitch
Picks are published with the line we actually got, before the game starts — which is what makes the closing-line comparison meaningful.
Independent, no affiliations
Not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by Major League Baseball, any club, sportsbook or data provider. We take no sportsbook commissions on picks.
No guarantees, ever
No guaranteed-win language, no locks, no doubling-down after a loss. Losing days are published the same way winning days are.
📅 55 days tracked
✅ 167 picks graded
🔓 Full record public
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Trust Center

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Policies, expectations and support information should be visible without searching through fine print.

Our Commitments

✓ No guaranteed-win language
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✓ Published grading policy
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Experimental research belongs in Sports AI Labs — never inside the official Pro performance record.
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It's graded as a loss and stays in the record.
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